Current Market Snapshot

Here’s what the data is showing in Southern Utah in mid-2025.

Metric What’s Happening
Home Prices / Valuation Prices have generally appreciated, but the rate of growth is slowing. In places like St. George, the median home value is in the mid-$500,000s. Zillow reports a slight decline of ~0.4% year-over-year for average home value in Saint George.
Inventory / Active Listings Inventory is rising. For example, Cedar City’s active listings increased from ~224 in June 2024 to ~337 in June 2025. Many homeowners who had been holding off on listing due to rate concerns are now listing.
Sales Volume & Pending Sales Closed home sales are down a bit year-over-year, but pending listings are increasing. In Washington County, closed listings are slightly lagging, while pending/new listings are up.
Absorption / Market Balance The market is slowly shifting toward more balanced territory. There is less acute seller’s-market pressure than in past years. More homes are staying longer on the market; buyers are seeing more choices.
Interest Rates / Financing Pressure Still a constraint. Rates remain elevated enough that affordability is tighter. Some expectation they might ease a bit, which tends to spur more activity.
Luxury Segment The higher-end market remains relatively strong. Some reports show growth in luxury closings and prices.

What’s Changing (vs. Recent Past)

  • Slower Appreciation: Instead of double-digit gains, growth is more modest and sometimes flat or slight decline in certain submarkets.

  • More Choice for Buyers: Increased supply gives buyers more leverage — more options, possibly more negotiating power. Incentives or seller concessions are becoming more common in some cases.

  • Seller Expectations Adjusting: Sellers are having to calibrate their pricing and marketing more realistically. Overpricing is less well tolerated and homes that don’t align with buyer value (condition, location, features) are languishing.

  • Pipeline Activity: Although closed sales are down compared to last year, pending transactions suggest some rebound in activity.


Implications & What to Watch

Here’s what these trends mean, especially given your role advising families in transitions or downsizing.

  • If someone needs to sell, pricing correctly and staging/marketing well remain essential. There’s less tolerance for overpriced or poorly presented homes.

  • For buyers, this might be a more favorable window: rising inventory + smaller rate relief can yield both more options and better negotiation opportunities.

  • For downsizers or estates, properties that are in good shape, in desirable areas, will still hold value best; those needing updates or in less advantageous locations may be more exposed to price pressure.

  • Monitor mortgage rate movements carefully — even small decreases can shift sentiment (both from sellers listing and buyers getting off the sidelines).

  • Keep your eye on pending/inventory data: those are leading indicators. If pending sales keep rising, we may see closed volume pick up later in the year.


Outlook (Next 6-12 Months)

Here’s what I believe we’ll likely see in your market:

  • Modest growth in home values overall, but uneven — stronger in desirable/luxury neighborhoods, flatter or slight declines in fringe or less‐upgraded inventory.

  • Slight easing in interest rates (though probably not dramatic), which helps marginal buyers.

  • Continued increase in inventory — more listings coming online to satisfy sellers who delayed putting homes on the market.

  • More negotiation by buyers: concessions from sellers (closing costs, repairs, flexible close dates) becoming more standard in some submarkets.

  • Luxury properties may outperform lower end in terms of value retention, as those buyers are less rate-sensitive.


 

 

IMG_1983